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Oversupply persists despite improved sales activity for affordable product

City of Calgary, April 1, 2019 – March saw a modest decline in city wide sales activity compared to last year. However, sales have been rising for more affordable product in the detached and attached sectors.

Shifts in the lower end of the market have not outweighed easing across the higher priced product. First-quarter sales dropped to 3,108 units. This is nine per cent below last year and 28 per cent below typical levels of activity.

Price declines and relatively slow sales activity are impacting the number of new listings. For the second consecutive month, new listings eased compared to last year’s levels and long-term trends, but it was not enough to prevent inventory growth.

“If new listings continue to slow compared to sales, it could start to help with the persistent oversupply scenario weighing on our housing market,” said CREB® chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie.

“However, inventory is still high. It will still take time for our market to transition towards more balanced conditions and stable pricing.”

With 6,595 units in inventory in March, the months of supply eased to five months. This is an improvement over the past several months, but still considered oversupplied when compared to levels traditionally recorded in March.

The oversupply in the Calgary market has caused further price declines this month. As of March, benchmark prices eased to $413,900, five per cent below last year’s levels and just below levels recorded last month.

HOUSING MARKET FACTS

Detached

• First-quarter sales declined by nearly nine per cent compared to last year and 30 per cent below typical levels of activity.
• Detached sales have varied depending on location and price range, with gains occurring mostly in the most affordable price ranges of each district. • In March, citywide detached sales improved for all homes priced under $500,000.
• Despite easing in new listings, inventories increased over last year’s levels, pushing months of supply to the highest level every recorded for the

month of March. When considering activity by districts, the North East and East districts have seen the level of oversupply ease compared to last

year.
• Oversupply in the detached sector continues to weigh on prices across all districts in the city. Citywide detached benchmark prices eased 5.4 per cent

compared to last year for a total price of $475,800.

Apartment

  • Resale condominium sales fell by 14 per cent in March, causing first-quarter sales to total 464 units, 17 per cent below last year. The decline did not occur in all districts, as sales activity improved in both the North and West districts of the city. Despite some signs of improvements in those districts, activity remains well below long-term trends.

  • Supply in this sector is showing signs of adjusting to the lower levels of demand. New listings eased again this month compared to last year’s levels. Unlike other property types, this adjustment is impacting inventories. Inventory in March was 1,488 units, 12 per cent below last year’s levels.

  • The months of supply has edged down from levels recorded earlier in the year, but due to weak sales, it is elevated compared to last year’s levels and

    represents the highest levels ever recorded for march.

  • Citywide, apartment condominium prices fell by 0.7 per cent from last month and 2.6 per cent over last year. However, in both the North East and

    South East districts, prices posted a modest gain over last year.

    Attached

    • There was a slight uptick in attached sales in March due to improvements in both the semi-detached and row sectors. Despite the gains in March, year-to-date sales remain four per cent below last year’s levels and 16 per cent below long-term averages.

    • Year-to-date sales have eased, but there have been improvements in the South and South East districts.

    • Despite some improvements in sales, citywide months of supply remain elevated.

    • Prices continued to trend down for semi-detached product. March’s benchmark price was $391,000, nearly six per cent below last year’s levels and

      0.4 per cent below last month’s price. However, the North district saw different results, as tightening months of supply supported a modest gain in

      prices compared to both last month and last year.

    • Row prices in March remained relatively flat compared to February levels, but remain more than four per cent below last year’s levels and over 13 per

      cent lower than previous highs.

 City of Calgary Property Statistics and market information. 

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